Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates

Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2020 Issue 067
Publication date: May 2020
ISBN: 9781513545400
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Summary

This paper builds a novel database on the effects of macroprudential policy drawing from 58 empirical studies, comprising over 6,000 results on a wide range of instruments and outcome variables. It encompasses information on statistical significance, standardized magnitudes, and other characteristics of the estimates. Using meta-analysis techniques, the paper estimates average effects to find i) statistically significant effects on credit, but with considerable heterogeneity across instruments; ii) weaker and more imprecise effects on house prices; iii) quantitatively stronger effects in emerging markets and among studies using micro-level data; and iii) statistically significant evidence of leakages and spillovers. Other findings include relatively stronger impacts for tightening than loosening actions and negative effects on economic activity in the near term.