This paper seeks to quantify the net benefits of a comprehensive reform package aimed
at addressing Italy’s inter-related challenges. Specifically, it simulates the growth and
competitiveness effects of a package of fiscal, financial, wage bargaining, and other
structural reforms. Credible implementation of such a package yields substantial mediumterm
dividends at negligible near-term growth costs. Real GDP growth is estimated to be
substantially higher over the medium term, while the real effective exchange rate
depreciates notably.
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