Zambia: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Fifth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zambia

Zambia: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Fifth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Financing Assurances Review-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zambia
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Volume/Issue: Volume 2025 Issue 225
Publication date: August 2025
ISBN: 9798229019378
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Topics covered in this book

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Exports and Imports , Economics- Macroeconomics , Public Finance , Revenue administration , Debt sustainability , Government debt management , Fiscal stance , Debt sustainability analysis , Debt service , Arrears

Summary

Zambia’s economy has stabilized, with average per capita income growth of about 2 percent over 2022–24, supported by continued reform efforts. Inflationary pressures are gradually subsiding. In 2024, real GDP growth is estimated at 4 percent—well above earlier projections—underpinned by stronger mining and services performance and prioritizing electricity access to productive sectors. The authorities’ commitment to reform is yielding dividends: macroeconomic stability is improving, fiscal consolidation is progressing, and reserve buffers are strengthening. However, poverty and inequality remain high, and the economic outlook is vulnerable to external shocks, climate events, and domestic political pressures ahead of the 2026 elections.